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AVGO Elliott Wave Analysis: A Break Above 476 Could Open the Door to 1,170

Broadcom (AVGO) has developed a powerful long-term Elliott Wave structure that places the stock at a potentially important technical inflection point. The current count identifies a massive Wave 1 advance from 150 to 490, followed by a corrective Wave 2 decline from 490 to 360. The next major question is whether AVGO can break above 476. If that level is decisively exceeded, the current Elliott Wave projection calls for a potentially enormous Wave 3 advance toward 1,170.

The structure is straightforward but significant.

The first major move is Wave 1 from 150 to 490. AVGO advanced 340 points during this initial impulse, establishing 490 as the major Wave 1 peak. The magnitude of this move demonstrates the strength of the underlying trend and provides the foundation for projecting the next major impulse.

Following the advance to 490, AVGO entered a substantial correction. The stock declined to 360, completing the proposed Wave 2. The correction therefore erased a meaningful portion of the preceding advance while remaining well above the original Wave 1 starting point of 150.

That distinction is critical.

Under the current Elliott Wave interpretation, the move from 490 to 360 represents a corrective phase rather than the beginning of a new long-term downtrend. If 360 ultimately proves to be the Wave 2 low, the next phase could be Wave 3—the portion of the Elliott Wave sequence that frequently produces the most powerful price expansion.

The key confirmation level is 476.

AVGO does not necessarily need to immediately exceed the old high of 490 to establish that the bullish structure is strengthening. A break above 476 would represent an important technical threshold within the current setup. Once that level is taken out, attention can shift toward the much larger Wave 3 projection.

The projected target is 1,170.

That is an extraordinary target compared with the current structure, but the size of the projection is precisely what makes the Wave 3 setup so significant. Wave 3 is often characterized by a substantial expansion in price as the market recognizes that the preceding correction has ended and the dominant trend has resumed.

The sequence can therefore be summarized simply:

150 → 490 = Wave 1

490 → 360 = Wave 2

476 breakout = bullish confirmation

Wave 3 projection = 1,170

The 476 level is therefore more than just a resistance level. It represents the technical trigger that would strengthen the argument that AVGO is transitioning out of its corrective phase and into the next major impulse.

The next level traders would naturally watch is 490, the Wave 1 high. A move through 490 would provide even stronger structural confirmation because the stock would be establishing a new high above the previous major peak.

Once AVGO moves above the Wave 1 high, the interpretation becomes increasingly straightforward. The market would have demonstrated that the decline from 490 to 360 was corrective and that buyers have regained control.

This is exactly the type of development that can occur at the beginning of a Wave 3.

Wave 3 is often where momentum accelerates. Investors who previously viewed the stock's decline as evidence of a deteriorating trend can begin changing their expectations once the old highs are recovered. Breakout traders enter, momentum increases, and the stock can move significantly faster than it did during the earlier stages of the recovery.

For AVGO, a sustained move above 476 would therefore be the first major signal that this process may be underway.

The 360 low remains equally important from the opposite perspective. If the stock were to return to that level and decisively break below it, the current Wave 2 interpretation would need to be reconsidered. A completed Wave 2 should provide a durable foundation for the next impulse. A substantial violation of that low would weaken the bullish count and indicate that the corrective structure may be more complicated or deeper than currently expected.

As long as 360 remains intact, however, the larger structure remains constructive under this wave count.

The enormous difference between the proposed Wave 1 and Wave 3 objectives is also worth emphasizing. Wave 1 covered the range from 150 to 490, while the projected Wave 3 target extends all the way to 1,170. That represents a dramatic expansion of the current trend.

But the target should not be interpreted as an assumption that AVGO will automatically reach 1,170. Elliott Wave projections are most useful when they are treated as conditional scenarios. The market must first confirm the structure.

That confirmation begins with 476.

If AVGO breaks 476 and then clears 490, the bullish case becomes substantially stronger. At that point, the stock would have overcome the major resistance created by the previous Wave 1 peak. The market would be demonstrating that the 360 low has likely served as the foundation for the next major advance.

Momentum would then become the key variable.

A strong breakout that holds above resistance would be considerably more constructive than a brief intraday move above the level followed by an immediate reversal. The behavior after the breakout will therefore be important. Successful retests, continued higher highs and sustained upside momentum would all strengthen the Wave 3 interpretation.

The projected 1,170 target should consequently be viewed as the destination of the larger bullish scenario rather than the immediate objective.

There are several steps between the current structure and that target. First comes the 476 breakout. Then comes the test of 490. A sustained move through 490 would provide confirmation that the stock has entered new-high territory. From there, the market would need to establish the momentum necessary to support the larger Wave 3 projection.

This makes AVGO particularly interesting from a technical-analysis standpoint. The setup provides clearly identifiable levels on both sides of the trade.

476 is the bullish trigger.

490 is the major structural breakout.

360 is the key Wave 2 low.

1,170 is the projected Wave 3 destination.

The market itself will determine whether the count succeeds.

The most constructive scenario would be for AVGO to hold well above 360, continue building momentum, break 476, and then push through 490. Such a sequence would provide progressively stronger evidence that the Wave 2 correction has ended and the next major impulse is underway.

If that happens, the 1,170 projection becomes the major long-term objective of the current Elliott Wave structure.

Bottom line: AVGO's current Elliott Wave count identifies 150–490 as Wave 1, followed by a 490–360 Wave 2 correction. The critical upside trigger is 476. A decisive break above 476 would strengthen the bullish interpretation, while a subsequent move through 490 would provide even stronger confirmation that AVGO has entered a new impulsive phase. Under this structure, the projected Wave 3 target is 1,170.

For now, 476 is the number to watch. If AVGO can reclaim that level and then break its 490 Wave 1 high, the technical structure could shift dramatically in favor of a much larger Wave 3 advance.

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