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LRCX Builds Powerful Elliott Wave Setup as Wave 3 Targets Expand Toward 523 and 726
LRCX continues to strengthen technically as the semiconductor equipment giant trades around 297 today, positioning itself well above what appears to have been a completed Wave 2 correction and potentially entering the early stages of a major Elliott Wave third-wave expansion.
After years of strong upside momentum fueled by semiconductor growth, AI infrastructure spending, and advanced chip manufacturing demand, Lam Research now appears to be developing one of the stronger long-term bullish structures in the semiconductor equipment sector.
The current Elliott Wave structure shows:
Wave 1: 54 to 257
Wave 2: 257 down to 195
Wave 3 target at 1.618: 523
Wave 3 target at 2.618: 726
With the stock currently trading near 297, LRCX has already moved significantly above the Wave 2 low, suggesting buyers may now be firmly regaining control of the larger trend.
Semiconductor Equipment Remains at the Center of the AI Boom
One of the strongest themes in the market over the last several years has been the explosion in AI-related infrastructure spending.
While much of the public attention has focused on chip designers and AI software companies, semiconductor equipment suppliers remain one of the most important parts of the entire ecosystem.
Lam Research directly benefits from:
Advanced wafer fabrication demand
AI accelerator manufacturing
Memory chip expansion
Data center growth
Semiconductor capital expenditure cycles
As AI spending continues accelerating globally, chip manufacturers require increasingly sophisticated fabrication equipment — placing companies like Lam Research in a strategically powerful position.
That macro environment continues supporting the bullish long-term Elliott Wave structure currently developing in LRCX.
Understanding the Current Elliott Wave Structure
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Lam Research appears to have completed:
A major Wave 1 advance from 54 to 257
Followed by a corrective Wave 2 retracement down to 195
Wave\ 1:54\rightarrow257
Wave\ 2:257\rightarrow195
The Wave 2 decline was important because it:
Reset momentum conditions
Reduced speculative excess
Created stronger support
Allowed institutional accumulation to rebuild
Prepared the structure for a potential third-wave expansion
Now, with the stock trading near 297, LRCX has already reclaimed substantial ground above the correction low, reinforcing the possibility that Wave 3 may now be developing.
Why Wave 3 Is the Most Important Phase
In Elliott Wave analysis, the third wave is often:
The strongest wave
The longest wave
The phase where momentum becomes obvious
The point where institutional participation accelerates
Third waves are typically characterized by:
Strong breakout continuation
Expanding bullish sentiment
Persistent dip buying
Increasing volume
Momentum acceleration
If Lam Research is indeed transitioning into a genuine Wave 3 environment, the upside projections become dramatically larger than most traders initially expect.
The First Major Wave 3 Target: 523
The first major Fibonacci projection for the developing Wave 3 comes in near:
523
Based on the standard 1.618 Fibonacci extension
1.618\times Wave\ 3\rightarrow523
The 1.618 extension is one of the most important Fibonacci relationships in Elliott Wave theory because it frequently defines the core target zone for third-wave structures.
Why is this level important?
Because:
Momentum often accelerates into Fibonacci targets
Institutional buying frequently intensifies
Trend-following systems become increasingly active
Breakout traders aggressively chase continuation
With LRCX already trading near 297, the stock still has significant upside potential if semiconductor momentum remains intact.
The Bigger Possibility: A Full Extension Toward 726
Perhaps the most exciting aspect of the structure is the possibility that Lam Research develops a fully extended third wave.
If momentum continues accelerating, the next major Fibonacci projection expands dramatically toward:
726
Based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension
2.618\times Wave\ 3\rightarrow726
Extended third waves often occur during:
Major technology expansion cycles
AI infrastructure booms
Aggressive institutional accumulation phases
Semiconductor leadership periods
Historically, semiconductor leaders during transformational technology cycles have frequently exceeded conservative projections once institutional participation fully accelerates.
That is why the 726 target cannot simply be dismissed if the broader AI infrastructure narrative remains strong.
AI Infrastructure Spending Continues Fueling the Sector
One of the largest bullish catalysts supporting Lam Research remains ongoing AI-related semiconductor spending.
Global demand for:
High-performance chips
AI accelerators
Memory infrastructure
Advanced packaging
Semiconductor fabrication capacity
continues driving capital expenditure growth across the semiconductor industry.
As chip manufacturers expand production capability, the demand for fabrication equipment directly benefits companies like Lam Research.
This creates the exact type of macro backdrop where extended Elliott Wave third-wave structures often develop.
Why Third Waves Often Surprise Traders
One of the biggest mistakes traders make during powerful third-wave environments is assuming the stock has already gone “too far.”
But Wave 3 structures frequently:
Extend beyond conservative projections
Stay overbought for long periods
Continue squeezing higher
Ignore bearish sentiment
Produce repeated breakout moves
This happens because third waves are driven not just by technicals, but by:
Expanding institutional participation
Narrative momentum
Sector leadership
Fear of missing out
LRCX increasingly appears to be entering that type of environment.
Risk Management Still Matters
Even in strong bullish structures, discipline remains critical.
Momentum stocks can reverse sharply once:
Semiconductor leadership weakens
AI spending slows
Institutional flows cool
Major Fibonacci levels fail
That makes reactions near:
523
And eventually 726
extremely important from a structural perspective.
These are major Fibonacci extension zones within the broader Elliott Wave framework.
Final Thoughts
LRCX continues building what appears to be a powerful Elliott Wave bullish structure as the stock trades near 297 today.
The stock completed:
Wave 1 from 54 to 257
Followed by a Wave 2 correction down to 195
Now the broader structure suggests the potential beginning of a:
Wave 3 expansion targeting 523 at the 1.618 Fibonacci projection
If semiconductor and AI infrastructure leadership continue strengthening, the larger structure could eventually expand dramatically toward:
726, representing the 2.618 Wave 3 projection
At this stage, Lam Research continues behaving more like a stock entering a major impulsive acceleration phase rather than a mature exhausted trend.


